Stephen Strasburg shutdown debate masks the Washington Nationals’ true story

By Thomas Boswell,August 14, 2012

On Saturday, Washington Nationals General Manager Mike Rizzo ran into Stephen Strasburg’s dad, who was in Phoenix to watch the team play the Diamondbacks. Jim Strasburg braced Rizzo with the same question as the rest of the baseball world: What’s the deal with ending my son’s season — protecting his arm even though he feels perfectly healthy — because of some voluntary innings limit that Rizzo has chosen?

“Mr. Strasburg, don’t ask the question if you don’t want to hear the full answer,” Rizzo replied. “I want to hear it,” Strasburg’s father said.

The answer takes a long time. It includes decades of statistics on rehabilitation from Tommy John surgery and how annual “innings load increases” have led to disastrous re-injury in the past.

It includes the view of the surgeon, Lewis Yocum, who’s performed all the operations on Nats pitchers in recent years. It is Yocum’s belief that pitchers who break down from premature returns from elbow surgery — sometimes ruining their shoulders, and their whole careers, rather then their new elbows — don’t usually do so during the first big stress year but rather the following season. That would be 2013 in Strasburg’s case.

In the end, Rizzo gave Strasburg’s father a list of all of the smart people who disagreed with his innings shutdown limit. “Even my dad says, ‘Let him pitch,’ ” said Rizzo, whose father, Phil, is a lifelong baseball scout.

Then Rizzo said he told Strasburg’s father that the decision to shut his son down was “mine and mine alone.”

“It’s not on Davey Johnson or Mr. Lerner. It’s on me,” he said. “I know it may stain my reputation or my career. There’s no way it can ever be proved if I was right. The easy thing for me is just to do nothing. But I’m hardheaded. The decision was made five months ago because it was the best decision for Stephen and the Nationals. And nothing is going to change it.”

What was Jim Strasburg’s reaction? “He said, ‘That makes a lot of sense,’ ” Rizzo recalled.

With that ice broken, Rizzo told the senior Strasburg that the two worst days of his career were when he had to tell Jordan Zimmermann and Strasburg that they would need career-threatening Tommy John surgery and, best case, each would miss a full year. “Your son’s tough, but he cried like a baby in Philadelphia when I told him,” Rizzo said. “I promised you when I was in your house trying to sign your son that I would take care of him. And I’m going to do it.”

Under cover of the Strasburg shutdown controversy, the true story of the Nationals is being missed. The real narrative, which the Strasburg fuss illustrates, is that the Nats are an organization with enormous self-confidence and, when necessary, defiant indifference.

One reason the Nats have come so far, and so fast, is the same reason they will shut down Strasburg when Rizzo decides the day. The Nats do things their way — or, rather, Rizzo, Johnson and Lerner’s way. They act in line with their best baseball, medical and philosophical judgment. Then, they don’t care what anybody thinks — as they’ve proved time and again in recent years, though few notice.

Look at all the instances where the Nats, as their fortunes started to turn, have ignored pundits or fans, mocked conventional wisdom, defied the guidelines of the commissioner, irritated their foes’ feelings or taken the tough-love approach with young prospects.

With “Moneyball” barely out of theaters, they are already several years down the road of giving scouts a “65-35” say over stat nerds in their decisions. “Creating those Sabermetric stats was smart and hard. But, come on, how tough is it to grasp that stuff once every team’s got it? Even I can understand most of it,” Rizzo joked years ago. “We’ll lean a different way.”

Who do you draft or sign as a free agent? How much do you pay? Why would you risk a 19-year-old in your lineup every day? Why don’t you want Adam Dunn, at any price, or Prince Fielder for a market price? Whatever the majority thinks, the Nats tend to disagree.

When the Nats were considering Johnson for manager, they passed around a story that described Davey as iconoclastic, outspoken and a manager who loved to run a club that, at times, felt like a studious pirate ship. The Nats, none more than Rizzo, thought that made Davey ideal.

Everywhere you look, the Nats bend the norms. They signed amateur free agents Strasburg, Bryce Harper, Anthony Rendon, Matt Purke, Alex Meyer and Brian Goodwin for record prices, sometimes shattering previous marks by 50 percent or more. Lerner gave the “go” and Rizzo executed.

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